Beyond Moore's Law: Can We Push The Semiconductor Limits Further?

Hey everyone! I’ve been looking into a concept that’s been pretty much the center of our semiconductor industry - Moore’s Law. Way back in 1965, Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, said that we’d double the number of transistors on a chip about every two years, without increasing the production cost significantly. What it meant was that our computers would get smaller and faster while staying affordable.

It’s propelled some massive leaps in computing, boosted the efficiency of transistors in integrated circuits, and revolutionized our computers. All our gadgets, like smartphones, tablets, and gaming consoles, have benefited from this. Even tech like weather forecasting and GPS have gotten pretty precise, thanks to Moore’s Law.

But it’s not just electronics. Sectors like transportation, health care, education, and energy production have all been uplifted by this tidal wave of computing power.

Now, here’s a bit of a buzzkill - we might be hitting a dead end with Moore’s Law. Some in the industry suggest that we could reach the physical limits of this principle in the 2020s. The problem is that as transistors shrink down, they start generating more heat which may affect the efficiency. Cooling down these tiny transistors would need more energy than what’s currently whizzing through them. Moore himself felt that we’d eventually hit a wall because everything’s made of atoms, after all.

Right now, chip makers are in a race against these physical limits, trying to build chips that are more powerful than ever. Take Intel for example - they’ve been trying to get a 7-nanometer chip off the ground, which is a pretty big deal.

So, if we’re facing the end of the line for Moore’s Law, where do we go from here? We’ll need to find new paths for ramping up our computing capabilities. How will the semiconductor industry evolve to tackle these new challenges? Let’s chat about this and delve into what the future might hold for our exciting field!

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I think this where IC packaging or device structure come into place, where at least industrially/commercially this seems to be the trend. I happened to be present in SEMICon Taiwan and saw a lot of companies advertising heterogeneous integration, and other methods of integration for electronic devices such as bonding technology.

Other devices that stray from silicon and conventional FET device structure is also a very much ongoing study ranging from power devices, Micro/Nano Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS/NEMS), 2D material based devices (Graphere, Boron Nitride, TMDs), spintronics, piezoelectric devices, and so on. I guess other technologies to think about, not exactly with semiconductors, is quantum computing and superconductors. While superconductors is probably still going to take some time, quantum computing is seeing a hefty amount of progress.

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Absolutely, your insights about the shift towards IC packaging, heterogeneous integration, and alternative materials like Graphene and Boron Nitride are interesting. It’s fascinating to see the industry explore beyond traditional silicon-based FET structures. Quantum computing can’t be overlooked, I must read further on them though. With all the new tech and knowledge we’re on the way to exciting innovations in the semiconductor industry.

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Hey there! It’s awesome that you’re exploring Moore’s Law and its impact on the semiconductor industry. Gordon Moore’s prediction from 1965 has indeed been a driving force behind the incredible advancements in technology we’ve witnessed over the years.

The way Moore’s Law boosted computing power and made our gadgets smaller and faster has been nothing short of revolutionary. It’s not just about electronics; it has transformed various sectors, making precision in fields like weather forecasting, GPS, transportation, healthcare, education, and energy production possible.

However, the potential end of Moore’s Law is an interesting point. As transistors get smaller, they generate more heat, which could affect their efficiency. It’s like hitting a physical limit due to the fundamental properties of matter. Chip makers are racing against this challenge, striving to create more powerful chips, like Intel’s work on 7-nanometer technology.

So, where do we go from here? It’s a great question. We’ll need to find new ways to keep advancing our computing capabilities. The semiconductor industry is sure to evolve to meet these challenges. It’s an exciting and important conversation, and I’m eager to explore what the future holds for our field with all of you!

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I’m watching this video now, so I figured I’d share it here!

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Thank you for sharing. It’s quite interesting.

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